Saturday, December 10, 2016
"Hacksaw Ridge" is Extremely Bloody, But Seriously Moral
Mel Gibson makes gorefests, and this film is no exception.
However, the true story of Desmond Doss, the conscientious objector in World War II who won the Medal of Honor as a medic for saving many wounded under fire is worth the time.
The core story is about moral courage, as both different than, and inspiring to, physical courage.
As we face a rising tide of fascism around the world, we may need both.
Friday, December 09, 2016
This Moment is What the Electoral College Was Intended For
If I were an elector, I would not vote for Donald Trump.
If Hillary Clinton won the electoral college, that would not be a constitutional crisis.
It would be a constitutional triumph.
Thursday, December 08, 2016
Poor People Spend Money in Socially Useful Ways
A new meta-analysis looked at what poor people spend on if you just give them money. The worry is that they would waste it on cigarettes and booze. However, "not one of the 19 studies found that cash grants increase tobacco and alcohol consumption and many of them found that it leads to a reduction."
This is similar to the argument that I find persuasive for raising the minimum wage: poor people put the money right back into circulation, buying stuff they need. This employs other people, and is a more likely stimulus to the economy than giving more money to rich people. Plus, the poor peoples' lives are better.
Tuesday, December 06, 2016
Country Music on the Right Way to Live
On Tuesday mornings I get to talk on WKYB, Danville's country radio station.
Peter Lewis did a semi-serious analysis of the standard themes of top country songs, from the '60s to today. He boiled them down to four: It's all over; It's not working out; Love and devotion (which he originally coded as Sappy love songs); and Right way to live.
The first three categories are primarily about romantic relationships, but include frustrations with jobs and a few other relationships.
The last one is the one I am particularly interested in. In Lewis' calculation, these songs covered Things were better back then, Me and my rowdy friends (the land of the current bro-country party songs), and Let's get back to basics. This is the category for analyzing the social structure.
Now, no popular genre addresses the social structure directly - it is too boring as an emotion, too far removed from narrative, and too big for most people to readily grasp. Instead, these songs tend to call up the wisdom of small towns, farms and factory hard work, marriage and parenthood, and patriotism. They are, implicitly and sometimes explicitly, against cities, elites, and status-seeking.
Lewis' analysis reveals that the first two categories - the "tears in my beer" songs - have declined, while the latter two have risen. His conclusion: modern country fans are more interested in healthy relationships, motivational speeches, and having a good time than sadness and misery.
On the whole, this is a good development, I think. But we do need to keep thinking critically about the macro-processes of the social structure.
Monday, December 05, 2016
A Grump about Trump
I try to stay positive here, but there are a few things about the incoming administration that worry me.
I fear that Mr. Trump so values his business empire, and has so little taste for actually governing the country, that he will constantly use his office to advance his private interests. This is not a matter of bribery, exactly, but rather of shaping US policy to benefit his business, with the connivance of foreign governments.
I fear that the Trump presidency will be the most corrupt administration ever.
In a related note, I think his daughter Ivanka is really the brains of the operation. Her recent announcement that she will be moving to Washington confirms my suspicion that she will not only be running the Trump businesses, but will also be de facto First Lady, hosting for and advising the Trump White House. In fact, she seems more committed to living and working in the capital than her father does.
Thursday, December 01, 2016
Culture Wars of a "Change Election"
2016 was a change election. As often happens, after two terms of one party in the White House, many people vote for the other party, just for a change.
The exit polls show that the people who thought things were going well voted for Clinton, and the people who thought things were going poorly voted for Trump.
The Trump voters were not voting for issues - abortion, guns, immigration, even the economy - in any ordinary sense.
They were, though, mobilized by Trump's polarized, culture war framing of the real struggle: the "politically correct" educated elite versus ordinary people. This was a theme that Donald Trump and his surrogates pushed again and again.
The very vagueness of the supposed positions that the politically correct were supposed to embrace made this a useful slogan - globalization for economic nationalists, Muslim terrorism for Christian nationalists, immigration for white nationalists.
And Trump voters were not wrong that the educated elite do support free trade and pluralism.
Nationalism, though, tends to produce very bad consequences for minorities and for international peace.
Monday, November 28, 2016
Good News: Dementia Is Declining
The disease I fear most is dementia. Like most academics, I suspect, I value my mind over most other aspects of my body. Losing it is a most disturbing prospect.
Which is why it is so encouraging that the dementia rate has declined significantly since 2000.
Researchers don't know why dementia is declining, because they don't know what causes it in the first place.
They do note, though, two factors that correlate with a lower likelihood of dementia: being highly educated, and being fat.
I've got this covered.
Saturday, November 26, 2016
On The Passing of Fidel Castro
Fidel Castro overthrew a brutal dictator, improved literacy, and vastly improved health care in Cuba. For those those things he deserves praise.
He reigned as an oppressive dictator himself, though probably less corrupt than his predecessor, for decades. For this he should be condemned.
The United States foolishly strengthened Castro's rule by attempting to overthrow him, and then by blockading Cuba for those same decades. This not only strengthened him as a dictator, but also pushed him into the arms of the Soviets. Their nuclear missiles in Cuba led to the crisis that almost started a nuclear war.
I believe if we had pressed for commercial relations from the beginning, Cuba would long ago have become democratic. Coca Cola and McDonalds can send ambassadors where mercenaries and the Marines can't go.
I hope that when his brother Raoul passes, as well, President Obama's opening to Cuba can be completed, and in short order we can construct the bases of democracy.
Friday, November 25, 2016
Rising Nationalism Threatens World Peace
The greatest human achievement of the past two generations has been preventing a major war.
Since the end of the Korean War, and really since the end of the Second World War, there has not been a war between major powers.
This is because of the structure of international organizations that we created precisely to prevent another world war, and the web of organic relations of trade and social ties that grew up under that structure.
The most important of these structures, in my estimation, are NATO and the European Union. Many people take for granted the structure of peace they created.
Nationalism is the substitute religion created by modernity. It has some good uses in creating group solidarity. But it also has a great and obvious danger in promoting international wars.
The rising tide of nationalism that we see in all countries threatens world peace. But most dangerous is nationalism in the United States and Europe, which undermines the structures of international order that the world's central powers guarantee.
Wednesday, November 23, 2016
What is the Civil Religion "Holiday Season" For?
The season from Halloween through New Years contain the High Holy Days of the the American civil religion. The great melting pot of pagan, Christian, and Roman holidays has been Americanized. And the keystone of the arch of holidays is Thanksgiving.
Each holiday serves multiple purposes, high and low. Halloween brings out artistic creativity, and lets us serve cute little neighbor kids coming to the door. New Years is a time for new starts, the beginning of the year, and the beginning of the great quarter of getting down to work. Christmas, of course, is a significant religious holiday for the Christian majority, but is also a great family holiday, the start of a week of togetherness with which to end the year.
Thanksgiving is also a great family holiday. More than that, though, it is the moment of greatest moral depth - of reflecting on all that we have to be thankful for. Of all the actions tied to our holidays, this is the one most likely to bring enduring happiness. The happiest people show the thanksgiving habit year-round.
To be sure, each of these holidays is also an important commercial day. All of our civil religion holidays have elements to encourage no-holds-barred spending. The last quarter of the year drives the consumer economy. Each of these economic customs has the potential to make us more materialistic in ways that produce dissatisfaction and unhappiness.
Still, each of our civil holidays, if approached correctly, can promote happiness and a better civic spirit. And the greatest of these is Thanksgiving.
Saturday, November 19, 2016
Violence is Never in the Interest of Rational Actors
I am not sure this is true. I am chewing on it.
I know that sometimes rational actors will have to be violent to protect themselves from irrational actors.
But I don't think two rational actors ever need to resort to violence to settle their differences.
I take it as given that long-term survival is a premise of rationality, for societies if not for each individual in it. So rational societies in a world of rational societies know that violence for short-term gain will not make sense if it leads to retaliatory violence or other sanctions.
In societies as in individuals, "self-interest" and "selfish interest" are not the same thing.
Thursday, November 17, 2016
Encourage Black Women to Run
Melissa Harris Perry gave an impassioned speech to the American Anthropological Association that ended with her repeating "Where are my black girl leaders? Where are my black girl leaders? Where are my black girl leaders?"
She argued that Donald Trump was elected by white women - most of whom almost always vote Republican. By contrast, black women turned out for Hillary Clinton, and were the only group to turn out at the same (high) rate for Hillary Clinton as they had for Barack Obama.
She made the point that black women are rarely encouraged to run for office themselves. The black women in office often came to the role unexpectedly, indirectly, or through a male relative's election. She argues that we should systematically encourage black women to run for office, at all levels, and in their own right.
This strikes me as a good idea.
Black women among my students, past and present, prepare for a discussion about your social duty and civic capability. :-)
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
Hope Is a Thing You Have, Not Something You Are Given
Wendell Berry, Kentucky's leading intellectual, spoke at Centre College.
He was asked by an audience member for words of hope.
Berry considered this for a moment.
Then he said: "I don't have any. Hope is a virtue that you are just supposed to have. So get it up!"
Saturday, November 12, 2016
DC Statehood is a Bad Idea
Before we moved to lovely Danville, Kentucky, Mrs. G. and I lived in the District of Columbia. "Statehood for DC" was a constant political refrain of local politics.
The citizens of the District just voted overwhelmingly (79%) for a plan to separate out a small federal district for the main government offices and monuments, and turn the rest into a new state of New Columbia.
I like the idea of shrinking the District of Columbia down to a federal core - Capitol and Supreme Court, White House, the mall and its adjacent offices and, in my version, across the river to include the Pentagon.
I do not think, though, that the city of Washington surrounding this core is a state. I do believe that they should have voting representation in the House of Representatives. But not their own senators.
SO my proposal: the federal District of Columbia shrink to the smaller diamond I outlined above. The rest becomes Washington City, Maryland.
Friday, November 11, 2016
Protesting President Trump's Election is Misguided
I don't care for political street theater. I am glad that in a free country people who like to do that sort of thing can. But I think it is counterproductive, and usually self-indulgent.
Which is why I think the protests of President Trump's election are a bad idea. Just as I thought the protests of President Obama's election eight years ago were a bad idea.
I understand that there are many people who are fearful, my own students included. And some people have already been treated hatefully by Trump supporters, my own students included. The right response is for the police to prosecute the assailants.
Donald Trump did, indeed, empower the white nationalists. But protesting his election is to misdirect the anger at should actually be aimed at the actual wicked people on the ground.
Just wait. There will be plenty of substantive things to protest later.
Thursday, November 10, 2016
Voting to Get Our Old Jobs Back Will Not Repeal Global Capitalism
Two decades ago an economist gave a talk at Centre College in which he predicted that, due to automation and increased efficiencies in delivery, we could "optimistically" expect to eliminate 25 million jobs in the United States.
"You mean 'pessimistically,' don't you?" I asked.
No, he was thinking like an employer - or, really, as a shareholder - who was concerned about increasing profits by reducing costs.
I was thinking like a sociologist, looking at the effect on the entire population.
I think the margin in this election were the 25 million people who lost their jobs, or the possibility of those jobs. Those jobs - low education mass employment - is gone forever, and not just to China. Most have been eliminated altogether.
The governing class of both parties supports globalization of the economy, including automation. Voting against "elites" in favor of a strongman who promises to bring back those jobs is a hope against hope.
Wednesday, November 09, 2016
The Republic Will Survive President Trump
My first presidential election was 1980, when Ronald Reagan unseated Jimmy Carter. Mrs. G. and I were students at a very liberal college, and we and all of our friends were devastated.
The 2000 election was, if anything, worse. President Bush the younger came into office by one vote, and that voter later concluded she had voted wrongly.
On this morning after election day, this one feels like an even harder kick in the gut. The campaign promises made by Donald Trump are far worse than anything his predecessors proposed. On the other hand, the worst are so un-American, un-Constitutional, or even physically impossible, that they will not actually happen. And, as he has made clear many times, he often says things he does not mean and will later deny having said.
Moreover, unlike Ronald Reagan, or George W. Bush, or even the Tea Party, there are no other Trumpian legislators. He will have to rely on regular Republican politicians to govern. This should have a moderating influence, though they will likely enact many things I disagree with.
Still, the Trump campaign has unleashed a white nationalist layer of Americans who normally do not vote or proclaim their positions in public. I do fear that they will feel emboldened to act on their sense of entitlement in dangerous ways.
The 2000 election was, if anything, worse. President Bush the younger came into office by one vote, and that voter later concluded she had voted wrongly.
On this morning after election day, this one feels like an even harder kick in the gut. The campaign promises made by Donald Trump are far worse than anything his predecessors proposed. On the other hand, the worst are so un-American, un-Constitutional, or even physically impossible, that they will not actually happen. And, as he has made clear many times, he often says things he does not mean and will later deny having said.
Moreover, unlike Ronald Reagan, or George W. Bush, or even the Tea Party, there are no other Trumpian legislators. He will have to rely on regular Republican politicians to govern. This should have a moderating influence, though they will likely enact many things I disagree with.
Still, the Trump campaign has unleashed a white nationalist layer of Americans who normally do not vote or proclaim their positions in public. I do fear that they will feel emboldened to act on their sense of entitlement in dangerous ways.
Monday, November 07, 2016
Happily Voting for Hillary
I have known since election night, 2008, who I would be voting for tomorrow: Hillary Clinton.
I was, and remain, a strong supporter of Barack Obama. I believe he has been a very good president, and has accomplished a great deal despite colossal obstruction. I thought Hillary Clinton would make a good president in 2008, but Obama would make a better one. I have not changed my mind.
Since then she has done all she could to prepare to succeed Obama. As with the parade of policy wonks who head the lists of Democratic politicians these days, she does her homework. She is better prepared on foreign policy than Obama was. She has invaluable experience as a senator. And she has the unprecedented preparation of having been First Lady.
Like her husband, the first President Clinton, she is a trimmer. She has cut deals and cut corners. Nonetheless, on the scale of presidential-level politicians, I would rate her failures about a 2 on a ten-point scale. Of presidents in the past century, I think only Jimmy Carter and the current incumbent would rate higher on that scale. That includes some very effective presidents.
And then there is the great historic moment of the first woman president. Mrs. Gruntled and I will be wearing suffragette colors when we vote, in honor of this new epoch. And I dearly hope, and expect, that she will win.
Friday, November 04, 2016
How to Change "Locker-room Talk": Harvard Cancels the Men's Soccer Season
The Harvard men's soccer team produced a "scouting report" of the sexual value of each member of the Harvard women's soccer team. Again.
This time, Harvard responded by cancelling the rest of the men's soccer season (Harvard was leading in the Ivy League).
When Donald Trump was caught bragging about groping women and getting away with it, this was dismissed as "locker room talk."
Many athletes came forward to say that they never talk that way or hear others talk that way, even in the locker room.
But even if you allow that this kind of callous sexual objectification of real women has been common in locker rooms in the past, we can choose to change the norm.
Harvard is leading the way in showing that "locker-room talk" is wrong, has consequences, and is worth changing.
Wednesday, November 02, 2016
Democrats Can Come Clean About Their Liberal Religious Motivations
My colleague Ben Knoll and I were interviewed by Bill Goodman, of Kentucky Educational Television, for a podcast on religion and politics.
One development in this election that may shape the future of religion and politics: the explicit articulation of liberal Christian positions by the Democratic candidates. Hillary Clinton has long said that her politics have been shaped by the Methodist Social Creed, which she learned from her youth group leaders as a teenager. And Tim Kaine has exemplified Catholic Social Teaching, especially as propagated by Jesuits, all his life. Both have made their faith, and their religious motivations, central to their story in this campaign.
The Christian ethic of "care for the harmed" has long driven liberal political action. Usually, though, liberals who are religiously motivated don't say so publicly, for fear of "shoving their religion down other people's throats." Which is, seemingly paradoxically, one of the defining religious beliefs of religious liberals.
I hope after this election that candidates in both parties will feel equally free to talk about their religious motives and religious conclusions in shaping their policies and commitments.
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